Accelerating to Zero

Kevin Jennings

October 22, 2018

Connected-driverless vehicles (automobiles not operated by humans, 然而，连接到一个复杂的指导网络)将成为常态.

当你斜倚在椅子上——这更像是一张床——时，你从午睡中惊醒. Your disorientation gives way to clarity and recognition. 你发现自己置身于一辆smh840运输车驶向目的地的熟悉环境中. It’s all coming back to you now. 你一个多小时前租了这辆车，从你家到城里的办公室，要走163英里. 你放松地坐着，沉浸在你最喜欢的音乐和香味中, and your favorite food and beverages were placed at your fingertips. The relaxing full body massage caused you to drift off to sleep. There is no driver in this vehicle. 事实上，你已经超过五年没有和人类操作员一起坐过车了. It’s 2048.

Images from your dream begin trickling back to you. As weird as it sounds, in your dream, 你开着自己的车在一条繁忙的路上，路上有几百辆车, all with their own individual drivers. 你经过一场事故，你可以看到应急车辆和两具躺在担架上的尸体, covered in shrouds. That’s when you woke up. 在如此生动的与死亡的对抗中，你的脊椎一阵颤抖，你瞬间想到了自己的死亡.

Exiting the vehicle, 你感到阳光照在脸上，你松了一口气，因为你不再生活在黑暗时代，那时人们每天都要承受与人类驾驶汽车相关的风险. In just two years, at the stroke of midnight on New Year’s Day 2050, the manually-operated vehicles, in those few remaining places in the U.S. where they are still permitted to operate, will finally be eliminated. 人类在路上或空中驾驶汽车将不再合法，除非是在封闭的区域，专门用于怀旧和娱乐，与实际驾驶汽车有关.

It’s amazing that mere decades ago, 汽车几乎完全由人驾驶，而且都在沥青和混凝土道路上行驶. 那是在联网无人驾驶汽车(cdv)出现和普及之前。. 在大多数主要城市，40%的车辆运输现在是在空中, with human-operated vehicles eliminated years ago. Private ownership of cars fell below 5% in 2039. Now, 几乎所有的汽车都是由三家公司制造和运营的:SMH(上海/孟买/现代)，这是上海汽车合并的结果, Tata, and Hyundai), GVB (General Motors, including its Tesla subsidiary, Volkswagen, Mazda, Volvo, and Benz), and World Motors (Toyota, Ford, Chrysler, BMW, Peugeot, Nissan, and most of the remaining traditional automobile makers). 氢燃料电池几乎淘汰了化石燃料和电动汽车.

你关于事故纠正的梦，谢天谢地，只是一个梦. The possibility that you will ever see an accident, especially one resulting in fatalities, is incredibly remote. 在过去，美国每年死于交通事故的人数是10%.S. was epic in proportion. In 2046 the number fell below 1,000 for the first time on record, and is forecast to fall below 400 by 2050. 你对自己笑了笑，因为你确信交通运输的未来会更加安全.

Suddenly, you awake. You’re confused—was that just a dream about a dream? You check your phone, and see that it’s still 2018. 当你与你对未来的憧憬相遇时，你会感到惊讶，甚至有点高兴. You reflect on what you have just experienced. 你会想，2048年梦里发生的事情有多少可能会发生. 你想知道，你所经历的事情发生的可能性有多大? It’s anybody’s guess, really. 很有可能的是，在未来的几十年里，汽车制造商将进行整合, 随着无人驾驶汽车服务成为常态，个人汽车拥有量将大幅下降. 飞行或悬停车辆以及燃料电池技术的广泛采用更具投机性，并将依赖于目前处于起步阶段的重大技术进步.

You’re pretty confident, however, that whatever route these trends take, Connected-Driverless Vehicles (automobiles not operated by humans, 然而，连接到一个复杂的指导网络)将成为常态. They will be possible based on the development and deployment of robust, 车辆和运输系统之间可靠的通信和运输技术. This is where we, Alcatel-Lucent Enterprise, come in, 因为我们正在为交通运输火狐体育手机提供先进的智能交通解决方案, paving the way for the roads and vehicles of the future.

我们还为另一项非常重要和积极的成果做出了贡献:安全性的大幅提高.  Today, there are more than 35,000 traffic fatalities annually in the U.S., and an estimated more than 1.25M worldwide. 随着cdv的采用，这些数字将在未来几十年大幅减少. 当然，目标是完全消除与车辆相关的死亡事故. ALE, 与许多其他公司合作，为ITS的发展提供免费的技术, is dedicated to this goal. Our efforts are increasing in activity and resolve. We believe that any traffic related death is one too many. Ours is not merely a dream.

当谈到通过实施先进的ITS技术来消除交通事故死亡时, ALE是由一个行动路线驱动的，它体现在一个简单的生命保护命题中:我们正在加速走向零.

We invite you to join us for the ride! For more information, visit: http://pgr.671582.com/en/industries/transportation/its